AFTER A CENTURY OF CRUDE, IT’S TIME TO REFINE OUR VISION: The 20th Century can be viewed through any of the three great trends of our time — economic growth, social progress, and environmental damage. But a fourth trend — growing energy use —underlies each of these, literally fueling the incredible journey we’ve been on in the last 100 years. And changes in the landscape of energy may well trigger a whole new journey for humanity. The legendary actor and narrator Peter Coyote tells the story of our oil journey.

Living on Eaarth

How to cope with a changed world? seems to be the most salient question these days. Changing, sure, but changed, more to the point. People get so caught up in discussions of how quickly everything is moving that many seem not to have noticed that movement has occurred.

Climate change is an excellent example. As Bill McKibben noted in his book Eaarth, we live on a new planet, now, one with new rules on how things are gonna be. All one must do is reflect on the extremities of recent weather to realize this ain’t the climate we grew up with. For committed environmentalists such as myself, this is a hard fact to swallow.

How shall we be on planet Eaarth? I’m not interested in bullshit about shifting consciousness—we may as well just talk about the revolution of the proletariat—I want to know what real people really do.

Screw with the abstractions; let’s get concrete. I’m an urban planner, although the settings I work in could (much) more accurately be described as rural or suburban. Though I live in a city, I rarely get the pleasure of working in one. At any rate, what does it mean to be an urban planner in a suburban nation that’s presently going through an identity crisis? The grand suburban experiment has failed, but hardly anyone’s told the suburbanites, and to the extent they’ve been told they’re not listening. Yet here I am, tasked—by paying clients, no less—to help them “plan” for their future.

The only plan that makes sense for suburbia is how to get the hell out. Suburbia’s too expensive, it’s too ugly, it’s spiritually deadening, it is a huge drain on resources and labor, and has despoiled way too much of our landscape with cookie cutter bullshit and the resultant pollution. The only thing it has going for it is that it exists, but I’m inclined to think that we’re throwing good money after bad with our extraordinary efforts to keep it alive.

In this kind of circumstance, how can I give a shit about my job? How can any of us give a shit about so many of our stupid, misguided labors?


(I totally am anti-gas)

I am not anti-gas; neither is Berman. What concerns him, and me, are the overblown claims about the potential for shale gas and the poor quality of both technical and financial information about its production. We don’t yet know how much of the estimated gas resources will be economically recoverable or whether the projected production rates for some wells might be off by a factor of 10. We might have a 100-year supply of gas, or we might have an 11-year supply. We might realize economic and environmental benefits by transitioning trucking and coal-fired power generation to natural gas, or we might do so only to find ourselves out on a limb far more economically dangerous than the current peak and impending decline of world oil supply. We simply don’t know, and we may not know for years to come.
(I totally am anti-gas)

I am not anti-gas; neither is Berman. What concerns him, and me, are the overblown claims about the potential for shale gas and the poor quality of both technical and financial information about its production. We don’t yet know how much of the estimated gas resources will be economically recoverable or whether the projected production rates for some wells might be off by a factor of 10. We might have a 100-year supply of gas, or we might have an 11-year supply. We might realize economic and environmental benefits by transitioning trucking and coal-fired power generation to natural gas, or we might do so only to find ourselves out on a limb far more economically dangerous than the current peak and impending decline of world oil supply. We simply don’t know, and we may not know for years to come.

Soaring drilling in the U.S. hasn’t lowered gas prices

Soaring drilling in the U.S. hasn’t lowered gas prices

"When policymakers see things like climate change, peak oil, the economic crisis, or the fact that we’re reaching limits in food production, they try to deal with them in isolation instead of recognizing that these crises are fundamentals of a failing global system. Because of this ideology, because of these subliminal ideas, we’re straightjacketed, and we’re unable to respond in the way that we need to. Recognizing that, we need not just tinkering, but transformation of the system. But the question is, how do we do that? My view is that we need to go back to each of these crises, understand how they work, and how they’re so fundamentally interconnected."

Ahmed, The Crisis of Civilization (via solitaryforager)

(Source: socialuprooting)

amongflora-and-fauna:

Slowly…

amongflora-and-fauna:

Slowly…

(Source: , via socialuprooting)

Ouch. It’s already past 2010, so I guess the bottom two scenarios are no-gos. We can always hope for a peak oil- or financial-engineering-based total economic collapse though, right? …right?

Ouch. It’s already past 2010, so I guess the bottom two scenarios are no-gos. We can always hope for a peak oil- or financial-engineering-based total economic collapse though, right? …right?

The Australian Daily Telegraph published today a story on a leaked government report (BITRE 117) which (optimistically) calculated peak oil around 2017, followed by permanent decline.
[Energy Bulletin posted important extracts from the report: HERE.]
The report can be downloaded here:
http://ianmcpherson.com/blog/audio/Australian_Govt_Oil_supply_trends.pdf
Thanks to the watchful eye of ASPO Australia.

The Australian Daily Telegraph published today a story on a leaked government report (BITRE 117) which (optimistically) calculated peak oil around 2017, followed by permanent decline.

[Energy Bulletin posted important extracts from the report: HERE.]

The report can be downloaded here:

http://ianmcpherson.com/blog/audio/Australian_Govt_Oil_supply_trends.pdf

Thanks to the watchful eye of ASPO Australia.